Investing in Turbulent Time | Blog | UnaVida Wealth Management Ltd

Investing in Turbulent Times

Navigating Financial Turbulence: Protecting Your Wealth in a Changing Landscape

The echoes of the 2008 financial crisis still reverberate in our collective memory, serving as a stark reminder of the fragility of global economies. In response to the crash, governments worldwide took unprecedented measures to inject liquidity into financial markets. Over the past 14 months, we’ve been vocal about our concerns regarding this surge in liquidity and its impact on asset prices. Despite not always receiving a warm reception for our warnings, we remain steadfast in our commitment to keeping investors informed. As we find ourselves in the midst of a reverse liquidity trend, the implications for global stock markets are significant, and investors need to be prepared for what’s to come.

The Era of Low-Interest Rates and Quantitative Easing:

Low-interest rates and quantitative easing (QE) have been the pillars of support for financial markets, bolstering investor confidence and pushing asset prices higher. However, these support measures are gradually being phased out, resulting in the withdrawal of money from the financial markets. This reverse liquidity is exerting considerable downward pressure on stock markets worldwide, and the potential outcomes range from a substantial correction to something far worse.

Navigating Uncertainty:

Investors are understandably worried, especially with the added specter of large currency swings, notably in the UK and EU. If your financial well-being depends on your investments or pension funds, it’s imperative to recognize that the decisions you make over the next year and a half will have a profound impact.

Diversification is Key:

Traditional asset allocations, such as the 60% equities and 40% bonds commonly found in pension funds, may not offer the protection they once did. Today’s markets demand a more diversified mix of investments that include “disrupters” and “new technologies.” Holding large cash deposits, especially in Sterling, might not be the prudent choice in these times of economic flux.

The Cost of Inaction:

Choosing to do nothing or making hasty investment decisions without careful consideration can result in your wealth evaporating. It’s crucial to remember that every substantial stock market correction is typically followed by an even more substantial upswing. To fully participate in the upswing, a well-diversified, future-oriented portfolio is essential.

A Discerning Approach:

Our portfolio selections focus on fund managers with a strong track record or those with a long-term “value” strategy. It’s important to note that our “value” selections may underperform in the short term, potentially leading some investors to lose faith. However, it’s crucial to understand the depth of research and analysis that goes into our fund selections.

Opportunities in Turbulent Times:

Amidst the turbulence, there are opportunities for astute investors. We recently received news that one of our recommended funds sold its largest investment holding at a substantial profit, bolstering its cash reserves at an opportune moment. Surprisingly, our recommended remains available at a significant discount, and we are advising our clients to consider increasing their investments in it, before the wider market catches on.

Here are some key takeaways:

Investing in turbulent times can be a daunting task, but it is also an opportunity to make smart decisions that can pay off in the long run. Here are some tips to help you navigate the choppy waters of investing during uncertain times.

  1. Stay calm and patient: The first rule of investing in turbulent times is to stay calm and patient. It’s easy to get caught up in the moment and make hasty decisions, but that’s usually a recipe for disaster. Instead, take a deep breath, step back, and assess the situation before making any moves.
  2. Diversify your portfolio: Diversification is key to weathering any storm in the stock market. By spreading your investments across different asset classes, sectors, and geographies, you can reduce your risk exposure and increase your chances of success.
  3. Focus on quality: In turbulent times, it’s more important than ever to focus on quality investments that have a proven track record of success. Look for companies with strong fundamentals, solid balance sheets, and a history of paying dividends.
  4. Keep an eye on the long-term: Investing is a marathon, not a sprint. While it’s important to stay informed about short-term market fluctuations, it’s equally important to keep your eye on the long-term horizon. Remember that investing is about building wealth over time, not getting rich quickly.
  5. Use FE Analytics: This sophisticated software provides a detailed analysis of your portfolio, detailing back performance over one, three, and five years. So although your short-term performance may be down, it can be very reassuring to look at the longer-term performance. The software is quite expensive to lease, which is why you may want to find a professional adviser who has this software.
  6. Consider professional advice: If you’re feeling overwhelmed or uncertain about your investment strategy, consider seeking professional advice from a financial advisor or investment manager. They can help you develop a personalized plan that takes into account your unique goals, risk tolerance, and time horizon.

By following these tips, you can position yourself for success even in the most turbulent of times. Remember that investing is a journey, not a destination, so stay focused on your goals and keep moving forward.

Conclusion:

In these uncertain times, it’s vital to stay informed and proactive about your investments. If you have concerns or need guidance, please don’t hesitate to reach out to us. Ensuring that your portfolio is fit for purpose is the first step toward safeguarding your financial well-being in the ever-changing landscape of global finance.

You can do so by requesting a second opinion on your own portfolio, we are happy to assist just call us on 01189 347 921.

 

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The opinions expressed by Ray Best are meant to inform and educate. Before making any investment decisions always take advice that is pertinent to your investment personality and financial situation.

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The value of an investment and the income from it could go down as well as up.

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